North East Hampshire (UK Parliament constituency)
| North East Hampshire | |
|---|---|
| County constituency for the House of Commons | |
 Boundaries since 2024 | |
 Boundary of North East Hampshire in South East England | |
| County | Hampshire |
| Electorate | 73,306 (2023) [1] |
| Major settlements | |
| Current constituency | |
| Created | 1997 |
| Member of Parliament | Alex Brewer (Liberal Democrats) |
| Seats | One |
| Created from | |
North East Hampshire is a constituency[n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament by Alex Brewer, a Liberal Democrat.[n 2]
History
[edit]The constituency was created in 1997 from parts of the seats of Aldershot and East Hampshire. It was represented at Westminster by James Arbuthnot until 2015 when he was succeeded by Ranil Jayawardena. The constituency has, since its creation, given large majorities to the Conservatives, and in 2015, Jayawardena was elected with a lead of 29,916 votes, or 55.4%. This made North East Hampshire the safest Conservative seat at that election in both percentage and numerical terms.[2] Nevertheless, at the 2024 General Election the seat was gained by the Liberal Democrats with a swing of over 20%.
Boundaries
[edit]
1997–2010: The District of Hart wards of Church Crookham, Crondall, Eversley, Fleet Courtmoor, Fleet Pondtail, Fleet West, Hartley Wintney, Hook, Long Sutton, Odiham, and Whitewater, and the District of East Hampshire wards of Binsted, Bramshott and Liphook, Froyle and Bentley, Grayshott, Headley, Selborne, Whitehill Bordon and Whitehill, and Whitehill Lindford.
2010–2024: The District of Hart wards of Church Crookham East, Church Crookham West, Crondall, Eversley, Fleet Central, Fleet Courtmoor, Fleet North, Fleet Pondtail, Fleet West, Greywell, Hartley Wintney, Hook, Long Sutton, Odiham, Yateley East, Yateley North, and Yateley West, and the Borough of Basingstoke and Deane wards of Calleva, Pamber, Sherborne St John, and Upton Grey and The Candovers.
This constituency was slightly altered for the 2010 general election. The seat's southernmost part was transferred to East Hampshire while it gained some wards from Basingstoke and additional Hart wards from Aldershot.
2024–present: Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies which came into effect for the 2024 general election, the constituency is composed of the following (as they existed on 1 December 2020):
- The Borough of Basingstoke and Deane wards of: Basing & Upton Grey; Bramley.
- The District of Hart wards of: Crookham East; Crookham West and Ewshot; Fleet Central; Fleet East; Fleet West; Hartley Wintney; Hook; Odiham; Yateley West.[3]
Revised boundaries largely arising from changes to local authority ward structures since the previous review.
Towns and villages in the constituency include Bramley, Church Crookham, Elvetham Heath, Eversley, Ewshot, Fleet, Greywell, Hartley Wintney, Herriard, Hook, Odiham, Old Basing, Sherfield on Loddon, Silchester, Upton Grey and Yateley (west).
Constituency profile
[edit]The seat includes significant software, hardware and military sectors and a significant proportion of Basingstoke, Bracknell and City of London commuters, particularly the latter towards Hook railway station on the South West Main Line; the average income level is higher than the national average.[4] This area also has low unemployment[5] and a high proportion of semi-detached and detached properties.[6]
Members of Parliament
[edit]East Hampshire and Aldershot prior to 1997
| Election | Member[7] | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | James Arbuthnot | Conservative | |
| 2015 | Ranil Jayawardena | Conservative | |
| 2024 | Alex Brewer | Liberal Democrats | |
Elections
[edit]Elections in the 2020s
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | Alex Brewer | 21,178 | 38.1 | +15.7 | |
| Conservative | Ranil Jayawardena | 20,544 | 36.9 | –24.9 | |
| Reform UK | Paul Morton | 6,673 | 12.0 | N/A | |
| Labour | Bradley Phillips | 5,057 | 9.1 | –1.1 | |
| Green | Mohamed Miah | 1,425 | 2.5 | –0.4 | |
| Monster Raving Loony | Howling Laud Hope | 340 | 0.6 | –0.4 | |
| Hampshire Ind. | Duncan Stone | 274 | 0.4 | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Alex Zychowski | 69 | 0.1 | N/A | |
| Majority | 634 | 1.1 | N/A | ||
| Turnout | 55,560 | 72.4 | –5.0 | ||
| Registered electors | 76,975 | ||||
| Liberal Democrats gain from Conservative | Swing | +20.3 | |||
Elections in the 2010s
[edit]| 2019 notional result[8] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Vote | % | |
| Conservative | 35,124 | 61.9 | |
| Liberal Democrats | 12,691 | 22.4 | |
| Labour | 5,808 | 10.2 | |
| Green | 1,700 | 3.0 | |
| Others | 1,407 | 2.5 | |
| Turnout | 56,730 | 77.4 | |
| Electorate | 73,306 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Ranil Jayawardena | 35,280 | 59.5 | –6.0 | |
| Liberal Democrats | Graham Cockarill | 15,069 | 25.4 | +13.3 | |
| Labour | Barry Jones | 5,760 | 9.7 | –7.6 | |
| Green | Culann Walsh | 1,754 | 3.0 | +0.4 | |
| Independent | Tony Durrant | 831 | 1.4 | N/A | |
| Monster Raving Loony | Howling Laud Hope | 576 | 1.0 | N/A | |
| Majority | 20,211 | 34.1 | –14.1 | ||
| Turnout | 59,270 | 75.1 | –2.2 | ||
| Conservative hold | Swing | –9.6 | |||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Ranil Jayawardena | 37,754 | 65.5 | –0.4 | |
| Labour | Barry Jones | 9,982 | 17.3 | +7.5 | |
| Liberal Democrats | Graham Cockarill | 6,987 | 12.1 | +1.6 | |
| Green | Chas Spradbery | 1,476 | 2.6 | –1.8 | |
| UKIP | Mike Gascoigne | 1,061 | 1.8 | –7.0 | |
| Independent | Robert Blay | 367 | 0.6 | N/A | |
| Majority | 27,772 | 48.2 | –7.2 | ||
| Turnout | 57,627 | 76.3 | +3.4 | ||
| Conservative hold | Swing | –3.95 | |||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Ranil Jayawardena | 35,573 | 65.9 | +5.3 | |
| Liberal Democrats | Graham Cockarill | 5,657 | 10.5 | –15.0 | |
| Labour | Amran Hussain | 5,290 | 9.8 |  0.0
| |
| UKIP | Robert Blay1 | 4,732 | 8.8 | +4.6 | |
| Green | Andrew Johnston | 2,364 | 4.4 | N/A | |
| Monster Raving Loony | Mad Max Bobetsky | 384 | 0.7 | N/A | |
| Majority | 29,916 | 55.4 | +20.3 | ||
| Turnout | 54,000 | 72.9 | –0.4 | ||
| Conservative hold | Swing |  10.15
|
|||
1: After nominations were closed, Blay was suspended from UKIP after threatening to shoot his Conservative opponent.[13][14] His name still appeared on ballot papers as it was too late to remove him.[15]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | James Arbuthnot | 32,075 | 60.6 | +7.5 | |
| Liberal Democrats | Denzil Coulson | 13,478 | 25.5 | –1.6 | |
| Labour | Barry Jones | 5,173 | 9.8 | –6.8 | |
| UKIP | Ruth Duffin | 2,213 | 4.2 | +0.9 | |
| Majority | 18,597 | 35.1 | +8.6 | ||
| Turnout | 52,939 | 73.3 | +8.5 | ||
| Conservative hold | Swing | +4.55 | |||
Elections in the 2000s
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | James Arbuthnot | 25,407 | 53.7 | +0.5 | |
| Liberal Democrats | Adam Carew | 12,858 | 27.2 | +4.2 | |
| Labour | Kevin McGrath | 7,630 | 16.1 | –3.8 | |
| UKIP | Paul Birch | 1,392 | 2.9 | –1.0 | |
| Majority | 12,549 | 26.5 | –3.7 | ||
| Turnout | 47,287 | 64.8 | +3.2 | ||
| Conservative hold | Swing | –1.8 | |||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | James Arbuthnot | 23,379 | 53.2 | +2.3 | |
| Liberal Democrats | Michael Plummer | 10,122 | 23.0 | +0.3 | |
| Labour | Barry Jones | 8,744 | 19.9 | +3.9 | |
| UKIP | Graham Mellstrom | 1,702 | 3.9 | +3.0 | |
| Majority | 13,257 | 30.2 | +2.0 | ||
| Turnout | 43,947 | 61.6 | –12.0 | ||
| Conservative hold | Swing | +1.0 | |||
Elections in the 1990s
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | James Arbuthnot | 26,017 | 50.9 | ||
| Liberal Democrats | Ian Mann | 11,619 | 22.7 | ||
| Labour | Peter Dare | 8,203 | 16.0 | ||
| Referendum | Winston Rees | 2,420 | 4.7 | ||
| Independent | Keki Jessavala | 2,400 | 4.7 | ||
| UKIP | Christopher Berry | 452 | 0.9 | ||
| Majority | 14,398 | 28.2 | |||
| Turnout | 51,111 | 73.6 | |||
| Conservative win (new seat) | |||||
See also
[edit]- List of parliamentary constituencies in Hampshire
- List of parliamentary constituencies in the South East England (region)
Notes
[edit]- ^ A county constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
- ^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
References
[edit]- ^ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – South East". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 13 June 2024.
- ^ Williams, Zoe (1 June 2017). "In the country's safest Tory seat, prosperity seeks a steady hand | Zoe Williams". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 7 October 2019.
- ^ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 6 South East region.
- ^ "2001 Census". Neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk. Retrieved 4 February 2013.
- ^ Unemployment claimants by constituency The Guardian
- ^ "2011 census interactive maps". Ons.gov.uk. Archived from the original on 29 January 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2013.
- ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "H" (part 1)
- ^ "Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019". Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News. UK Parliament. Retrieved 11 July 2024.
- ^ "Hart Council Statement of Persons Nominated". Retrieved 20 November 2019.
- ^ "Loony Party Candidates". Retrieved 7 May 2017.
- ^ "North Hampshire general election candidates". Basingstoke Observer. 12 May 2017. Retrieved 16 May 2017.
- ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
- ^ "UKIP candidate Robert Blay suspended over shooting threat". BBC News. 5 May 2015.
- ^ Rawlinson, Kevin (5 May 2015). "Ukip candidate suspended for threatening to 'put a bullet in' Tory rival". The Guardian.
- ^ Myers, Russell; Sorrell, Lee (5 May 2015). "Robert Blay: UKIP suspends parliamentary candidate". Daily Mirror.
- ^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
Sources
[edit]- Election result, 2005 (BBC)
- Election results, 1997 - 2001 (BBC)
- Election results, 1997 - 2001 (Election Demon)
- Election results, 1997 - 2005 (Guardian)
External links
[edit]- North East Hampshire UK Parliament constituency (boundaries April 1997 – April 2010) at MapIt UK
- North East Hampshire UK Parliament constituency (boundaries April 2010 – May 2024) at MapIt UK
- North East Hampshire UK Parliament constituency (boundaries from June 2024) at MapIt UK
