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New Forest East (UK Parliament constituency)

Coordinates: 50°49′12″N 1°28′01″W / 50.820°N 1.467°W / 50.820; -1.467
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New Forest East
County constituency
for the House of Commons
Map
Boundaries since 2010
Map of constituency
Boundary of New Forest East in South East England
CountyHampshire
Electorate73,823 (2023) [1]
Major settlementsBrockenhurst, Totton, Hythe, Ashurst
Current constituency
Created1997
Member of ParliamentJulian Lewis (Conservative)
SeatsOne
Created from

New Forest East is a constituency[n 1] in Hampshire represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since its creation in 1997 by Julian Lewis of the Conservative Party.[n 2]

Constituency profile

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The industrial element and mid-density housing of the Southampton Water strip results in some or all Labour and Liberal Democrat councillors in this area at the local district elections from creation to date,[2] and contributes strongly towards the latter party's peak performance leaving the winner a 9% majority in 2001. This contrasts with the Conservative winner's greatest majority to date in 2017 of 42.8% of the votes over his nearest rival which ranks Lewis among the top 10% of his party's MPs by majority. The history of district itself is typical of inherent suburban and retiree districts as it was largely created for the preservation of the National Park and to provide contrast in planning and ethos to the City of Southampton and the Bournemouth conurbation.[citation needed]

The constituency covers the eastern half of the New Forest National Park in Hampshire and land to the east adjoining Southampton Water – almost the whole of its population live in the waterside settlements Totton, Marchwood, Hythe and Fawley or the major forest villages of Lyndhurst, Brockenhurst and Beaulieu.

For all areas the relevant local authority has a higher than average proportion of retired people, and a lower than national average extent of social housing and rented housing.[3] Housing types include far above average detached and semi-detached properties.[3]

Boundaries

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1997–2010: The District of New Forest wards of Blackfield and Langley, Boldre, Brockenhurst, Colbury, Copythorne South, Dibden and Hythe North, Dibden Purlieu, Fawley Holbury, Forest North, Forest South, Hythe South, Lyndhurst, Marchwood, Netley Marsh, Totton Central, Totton North, and Totton South.

2010–2023: The District of New Forest wards of Ashurst, Copythorne South and Netley Marsh, Boldre and Sway, Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead, Brockenhurst and Forest South East, Butts Ash and Dibden Purlieu, Dibden and Hythe East, Fawley, Blackfield and Langley, Furzedown and Hardley, Holbury and North Blackfield, Hythe West and Langdown, Lyndhurst, Marchwood, Totton Central, Totton East, Totton North, Totton South, and Totton West.

2023–present: Following a review of local authority ward boundaries, which became effective in May 2023,[4][5] the constituency now comprises the following:

  • The District of New Forest wards of: Ashurst, Bramshaw, Copythorne & Netley Marsh; Brockenhurst & Denny Lodge; Dibden & Dibden Purlieu; Fawley, Blackfield, Calshot & Langley; Forest & Solent; Hardley, Holbury & North Blackfield; Hythe Central; Hythe South; Lyndhurst & Minstead; Marchwood & Eling; Sway; Totton Central; Totton North; Totton South.[6]

The boundaries were unchanged by the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies (which was based on the ward structure in place on 1 December 2020).[7]

History

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This constituency was created when the old New Forest constituency was divided for the 1997 general election. All election results but one since its creation suggest that it is a Conservative safe seat. The 2001 election produced a marginal victory when the Liberal Democrats came within 4,000 votes of winning, closer than any challengers since.

Members of Parliament

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New Forest and Romsey & Waterside prior to 1997

Election Member[8] Party
1997 Sir Julian Lewis Conservative
July 2020[9] Independent
December 2020[10] Conservative

Elections

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Elections in the 2020s

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General election 2024: New Forest East[11]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 17,412 38.5 –26.0
Labour Sasjkia Otto 8,917 19.7 +4.9
Reform UK Roy Swales 7,646 16.9 N/A
Liberal Democrats Caroline Rackham 7,198 15.9 +1.3
Green Simon King 3,118 6.9 +2.1
Monster Raving Loony Mad Hatter 529 1.2 N/A
Animal Welfare Andrew Knight 410 0.9 –0.4
Majority 8,495 18.8 –30.9
Turnout 45,376 64.2 –4.8
Registered electors 70,618
Conservative hold Swing –15.5

Elections in the 2010s

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General election 2019: New Forest East[12]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 32,769 64.5 +1.9
Labour Julie Hope 7,518 14.8 −5.0
Liberal Democrats Bob Johnston 7,390 14.6 −0.6
Green Nicola Jolly 2,434 4.8 +2.4
Animal Welfare Andrew Knight 675 1.3 N/A
Majority 25,251 49.7 +6.9
Turnout 50,786 69.0 −2.4
Conservative hold Swing +3.45
General election 2017: New Forest East
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 32,162 62.6 +6.3
Labour Julie Renyard 10,167 19.8 +7.6
Liberal Democrats David Harrison 7,786 15.2 +5.8
Green Henry Mellor 1,251 2.4 −2.3
Majority 21,995 42.8 +4.0
Turnout 51,366 71.4 +3.4
Conservative hold Swing −0.6
General election 2015: New Forest East[13]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 27,819 56.3 +3.5
UKIP Roy Swales[14] 8,657 17.5 +12.5
Labour Andrew Pope[15] 6,018 12.2 +2.4
Liberal Democrats Bruce Tennent 4,626 9.4 −20.8
Green Sally May[16] 2,327 4.7 +2.7
Majority 19,162 38.8 +16.2
Turnout 49,447 68.0 −0.7
Conservative hold Swing +11.2
General election 2010: New Forest East[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 26,443 52.8 +3.4
Liberal Democrats Terry Scriven 15,136 30.3 −3.1
Labour Peter W.J. Sopowski 4,915 9.8 −2.4
UKIP Peter A. Day 2,518 5.0 −0.1
Green Beverley J. Golden 1,024 2.0 N/A
Majority 11,307 22.6 +8.1
Turnout 50,036 68.7 +2.6
Conservative hold Swing +3.2

Elections in the 2000s

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General election 2005: New Forest East[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 21,975 48.6 +6.2
Liberal Democrats Brian Dash 15,424 34.1 +0.7
Labour Stephen Roberts 5,492 12.1 −9.6
UKIP Katy Davies 2,344 5.2 +2.7
Majority 6,551 14.5 +5.5
Turnout 45,235 65.9 +2.7
Conservative hold Swing +2.7
General election 2001: New Forest East[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 17,902 42.4 −0.5
Liberal Democrats Brian Dash 14,073 33.4 +1.1
Labour Alan Goodfellow 9,141 21.7 −3.1
UKIP William Howe 1,062 2.5 N/A
Majority 3,829 9.0 −1.6
Turnout 42,178 63.2 −11.4
Conservative hold Swing −0.8

Elections in the 1990s

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General election 1997: New Forest East[20]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 21,053 42.9
Liberal Democrats George Dawson 15,838 32.3
Labour Alan Goodfellow 12,161 24.8
Majority 5,215 10.6
Turnout 49,052 74.6
Conservative win (new seat)

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ A county constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. ^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.

References

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  1. ^ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – South East". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 13 June 2024.
  2. ^ "Your Councillors". democracy.newforest.gov.uk. 11 October 2019.
  3. ^ a b "2011 census interactive maps". Archived from the original on 29 January 2016.
  4. ^ LGBCE. "New Forest | LGBCE". www.lgbce.org.uk. Retrieved 1 April 2024.
  5. ^ "The New Forest (Electoral Changes) Order 2021".
  6. ^ "New Seat Details - New Forest East". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 1 April 2024.
  7. ^ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 6 South East region.
  8. ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "N" (part 1)
  9. ^ "Dr Julian Lewis has Tory whip removed after running against PM's security committee chair pick". Sky News. Retrieved 15 July 2020.
  10. ^ Jon Waller (30 December 2020). "New Forest MP Lewis welcomed back to Tories after being axed for committee rebellion".
  11. ^ New Forest East
  12. ^ "New Forest East Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 14 December 2019.
  13. ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  14. ^ "11559982.Former_policeman_bidding_to_become_UKIP_MP_in_Hampshire". 26 October 2014. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
  15. ^ "UK ELECTION RESULTS: NEW FOREST EAST 2015".
  16. ^ "Sally May PPC page". Green Party of England and Wales. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
  17. ^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  18. ^ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  19. ^ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  20. ^ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

Sources

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50°49′12″N 1°28′01″W / 50.820°N 1.467°W / 50.820; -1.467

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